BTBP(600161) 申万宏源·2024-09-05 04:40Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's plasma collection volume continues to grow, and profitability has significantly improved [4] - Product structure optimization, especially the increased profitability from chromatographic intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) [4] - The company is actively expanding plasma resources through both internal and external means, including the acquisition of CSL's subsidiary Zhongyuan Ruide, which adds 5 operational plasma collection stations [4] - The company is continuously enriching its product pipeline, which is expected to further enhance profit per ton of plasma [5] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.341 billion, 1.607 billion, and 1.881 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.68, 0.81, and 0.95 yuan [5] Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.841 billion yuan (YoY +5.59%), net profit attributable to the parent company of 726 million yuan (YoY +28.10%), and non-GAAP net profit of 723 million yuan (YoY +29.35%) [4] - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.619 billion yuan (YoY +15.76%), net profit attributable to the parent company of 409 million yuan (YoY +34.28%), and non-GAAP net profit of 410 million yuan (YoY +33.93%) [4] - The company's gross margin in H1 2024 was 55.67% (YoY +7.13ppt), driven by high demand for products like IVIG and the sales of newly approved chromatographic IVIG [4] Product Line and Profitability - Human albumin revenue in H1 2024 was 1.114 billion yuan (YoY -6.93%), with a gross margin of 52.63% (YoY +8.41ppt) [4] - IVIG (including chromatographic) revenue in H1 2024 was 1.339 billion yuan (YoY +21.97%), with a gross margin of 57.49% (YoY +11.42ppt) [4] - Other blood products revenue in H1 2024 was 378 million yuan (YoY -2.56%), with a gross margin of 58.07% (YoY -10.34ppt) [4] - The company's product pipeline is being enriched with new products like human fibrinogen and recombinant coagulation factors, which are expected to boost profit per ton of plasma [5] Plasma Collection and Expansion - The company has 102 plasma collection stations across 16 provinces/regions, with 80 operational stations [4] - Plasma collection in H1 2024 reached 1,294 tons (YoY +15.02%), accounting for approximately 20% of the domestic industry's total plasma collection [4] - The acquisition of Zhongyuan Ruide adds 5 operational plasma collection stations and a new blood product production facility, further enhancing the company's competitive position in the blood products industry [4] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 6.206 billion, 7.353 billion, and 8.564 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 19.8%, 18.5%, and 16.5% [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.341 billion, 1.607 billion, and 1.881 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 20.8%, 19.9%, and 17.0% [6] - EPS is expected to be 0.68, 0.81, and 0.95 yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6]