SRCB(SH:601825) Guotai Junan Securities·2024-09-06 11:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved positive growth in both revenue and net profit in the first half of 2024, slightly exceeding expectations, while maintaining stable asset quality [4] - The company implemented its first interim dividend with an increased payout ratio, raising the target price to 7.85 CNY, corresponding to a 0.62 times price-to-book ratio for 2024 [5] - The report adjusts the net profit growth forecasts for 2024-2026 to 2.6%, 4.0%, and 6.2%, respectively, with corresponding book value per share (BVPS) estimates of 12.60 CNY, 13.76 CNY, and 14.74 CNY [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 26,793 million CNY for 2024E, with a growth rate of 1.4% [12] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 12,456 million CNY for 2024E, reflecting a growth of 2.6% [12] - The core tier 1 capital adequacy ratio stands at 14.68%, indicating a solid capital position [5] Dividend Policy - The company has increased its dividend payout ratio from 30% to 33%, with an expected dividend yield increase of 0.6 percentage points to 6.3% [5] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improved slightly to 0.97% as of Q2 2024, with a provision coverage ratio of 372% [5] - The company has seen a marginal improvement in asset quality, although retail and real estate sectors still face pressure [5] Market Position - Approximately 95% of the company's loans are concentrated in the Shanghai area, with a focus on differentiated advantages in technology innovation, inclusive finance, and retail banking [5] - The company has strategically deepened its presence in suburban areas, positioning itself for differentiated competition against peers [5]