MEITUAN(03690) 甬兴证券·2024-09-09 04:07Investment Rating - Maintains a "Buy" rating [3] Core Views - Organizational restructuring has significantly boosted the growth potential of the core local commerce business, with the core local commerce segment contributing approximately 73.8% of total revenue in Q2 2024, generating 60.7 billion yuan [2] - The new business segment showed a notable improvement, with revenue increasing by 28.7% year-over-year to 21.57 billion yuan in Q2 2024, and operating losses narrowing to 1.31 billion yuan from 2.76 billion yuan in Q1 2024 [2] - The company continues to repurchase shares, with a board resolution to buy back up to $1 billion worth of Class B ordinary shares, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future [2] Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company reported revenue of 82.3 billion yuan, a 21% year-over-year increase, with operating profit surging 139% to 11.3 billion yuan and adjusted net profit rising 78% to 13.6 billion yuan [1] - The company forecasts revenue for 2024-2026 to be 3,333 billion yuan, 3,829 billion yuan, and 4,382 billion yuan, respectively, with adjusted net profit expected to be 40.9 billion yuan, 50.5 billion yuan, and 63 billion yuan for the same periods [3] Business Segments - The "Pinhaofan" (拼好饭) service achieved a peak daily order volume of 8 million orders in Q2 2024, demonstrating strong performance [2] - The new business segment, including Meituan Youxuan, improved operational efficiency through enhanced product quality and supplier collaboration, leading to higher average order values and reduced losses [2] Valuation and Metrics - The company's market capitalization stands at 719.8 billion HKD, with a closing price of 115.7 HKD and total shares outstanding of 6.22 billion [5] - The company's P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 34.16 in 2023 to 12.22 in 2026, indicating improving valuation metrics [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain robust growth in its core local commerce business while continuing to reduce losses in new business segments, driven by ongoing organizational reforms [3]