Group 1: Trade Performance - In August 2024, China's total goods trade value reached 3.75 trillion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 4.8%[8] - Exports amounted to 2.2 trillion RMB, growing by 8.4%, while imports were 1.55 trillion RMB, showing no growth[8] - The trade surplus for August was 649.34 billion RMB, equivalent to 910.22 billion USD, marking a significant increase from 846.47 billion USD in July[18] Group 2: Export Dynamics - Exports to the EU and Japan saw a notable rebound, while exports to the US declined[9] - The export of automobiles surged by over 30%, indicating strong demand in this sector[15] - Labor-intensive goods, excluding toys, showed improvement, reflecting a recovery in overseas demand[9] Group 3: Import Trends - Imports experienced a decline, with growth rates for major imported goods, except for soybeans, automobiles, and steel, showing a downward trend[9] - The overall import value decreased, contributing to the weaker import performance in August[9] Group 4: Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic environment is expected to stabilize and recover, supported by policy incentives and economic resilience[5] - High trade surpluses are anticipated to stabilize China's foreign reserves and support the RMB in international markets[23] - The capital market is projected to experience a steady recovery amidst fluctuations, driven by restored market confidence[22]
2024年8月外贸数据点评:外贸向好,经济平稳
Shanghai Securities·2024-09-18 08:30