Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [4][19] Core Views - The company reported its 2024 interim results, with the basic building materials segment still in loss, but the loss narrowed in Q2 The new materials segment, including fiberglass, blades, and membranes, continues to show incremental growth potential [5][20] - Revenue for the first half of 2024 reached RMB 83 471 billion, up 18 5% YoY, while net profit attributable to the parent company was -RMB 2 018 billion, turning from profit to loss, below expectations [5][20] - The company's cement and clinker sales volume in H1 2024 was 114 million tons, down 19 9% YoY, exceeding the industry's 10% decline in sales volume [5][20] - The new materials segment achieved revenue of RMB 23 55 billion in H1 2024, up 0 6% YoY, with a gross margin of 23 7%, down 2 30 percentage points YoY [5][20] - The engineering services segment achieved revenue of RMB 20 57 billion in H1 2024, up 1 7% YoY, with a gross margin of 18 6%, up 1 0 percentage point YoY [5][20] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024E is projected to be RMB 183 306 billion, down 13% YoY, with net profit expected to be RMB 1 175 billion, down 70% YoY [7][22] - Revenue for 2025E is projected to be RMB 192 933 billion, up 5% YoY, with net profit expected to be RMB 2 276 billion, up 94% YoY [7][22] - Revenue for 2026E is projected to be RMB 204 757 billion, up 6% YoY, with net profit expected to be RMB 2 987 billion, up 31% YoY [7][22] Valuation and Market Data - The current stock price is HKD 2 20, with a 52-week price range of HKD 2 06-4 11 [6][21] - The current market capitalization is HKD 18 556 billion, with 8 435 million shares outstanding [6][21] - The target price is adjusted to HKD 3 23 based on a 25-year PE of 11 97x for comparable companies [5][20] Industry and Segment Analysis - The cement segment's loss narrowed in Q2, with industry-wide peak-shifting and price increase intentions strengthening in Q3 [5][20] - The new materials segment faces increased competition and price pressure, leading to a decline in profitability despite volume growth [5][20] - The engineering services segment saw growth in overseas and maintenance services, with overseas new contracts up 9% YoY and maintenance new contracts up 41% YoY in H1 2024 [5][20] Capital Expenditure and Financial Health - Capital expenditure in H1 2024 was RMB 13 billion, up 8% YoY, with a shift towards new materials, overseas investments, and equity investments [5][20] - The company's accounts receivable stood at RMB 86 6 billion, down RMB 3 4 billion YoY, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 60%, indicating manageable financial risks [5][20]
中国建材：2024年中报点评：基础建材亏损收窄，新材料保持增量能力