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食品饮料行业更新:政策催化, 首选超跌成长
Guotai Junan Securities·2024-09-24 23:36

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the food and beverage industry, consistent with the previous rating [2][11]. Core Viewpoints - The recent implementation of significant policies by regulatory bodies is expected to drive improvements in market sentiment and valuations, particularly favoring underperforming growth stocks such as liquor and snacks [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on certain growth stocks that have experienced significant declines, particularly in the liquor sector, which has shown a strong rebound following policy announcements [3]. - The overall demand in the consumer goods sector is recovering, with a strong outlook for the snack segment due to favorable market dynamics and stable profit expectations for key companies [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Policy Impact - The report highlights that the recent policies from the central bank and regulatory authorities are more aggressive than market expectations, which is likely to enhance liquidity and improve market conditions [3]. - The food and beverage sector saw a notable increase, with the sector index rising by 6.73%, leading among all primary industry indices [3]. Liquor Sector - The liquor sector is identified as having a cyclical nature, with significant price rebounds observed post-policy announcements, particularly for leading brands like Moutai and Wuliangye [3]. - The report notes that the liquor sector's performance is expected to improve as the market adjusts to the new policies, with leading stocks showing substantial gains [3]. Snack and Beverage Segments - The snack segment is highlighted for its clear growth trajectory, supported by ongoing channel benefits and high growth in e-commerce [3]. - Key companies in the snack sector are expected to maintain stable profit expectations into the second half of 2024, driven by scale effects and rising raw material costs [3]. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends increasing holdings in specific companies across various segments, including: - Liquor: Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao, and others [3]. - Snacks: Three Squirrels, Qiaqia Food, and others [3]. - Beverages: Dongpeng Beverage, Uni-President China, and others [3]. - Beer: Qingdao Beer, Yanjing Beer, and others [3].