Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating for the investment banking and brokerage industry, maintaining the previous rating of "Overweight" [2]. Core Insights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented substantial policies to promote mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and market capitalization management, which are expected to enhance the investment value of the capital market and accelerate supply-side reforms in the securities industry [4]. - The policies aim to stabilize the capital market, improve the quality and investment value of listed companies, and support the real economy's recovery and high-quality development [4]. - The report suggests that the implementation of the "Six M&A Guidelines" will encourage listed companies to strengthen industrial integration and transition towards new productive forces [4]. Summary by Sections Policy Overview - On September 24, the CSRC released the "Opinions on Deepening the Reform of the M&A Market" and solicited opinions on the "Guidelines for Market Capitalization Management" [4]. - The policies include establishing simplified review procedures for M&A and encouraging listed companies to manage their market capitalization through mergers, dividends, and buybacks [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends increasing holdings in leading brokerage firms with M&A expectations, specifically mentioning China Galaxy, CICC, and CITIC Securities as top picks [4]. - The anticipated increase in investment value and accelerated supply-side reforms in the industry are key factors driving this recommendation [4]. Financial Projections - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) and book value per share (BVPS) projections for the recommended companies, indicating a positive growth trajectory from 2022 to 2026 [6]. - For instance, China Galaxy's EPS is projected to grow from 0.71 in 2022 to 0.89 in 2026, while its BVPS is expected to rise from 7.92 to 11.02 over the same period [6].
关于证监会发布“并购六条”与《市值管理指引》的点评:活跃并购政策落地,利好有并购预期头部券商
Guotai Junan Securities·2024-09-25 01:10