Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company's 2024 mid-year report fell short of expectations, with Q2 wind power demand being weak and raw silk sales underperforming. However, raw silk maintains a slight profit per ton, and there are signs of supply clearing in the industry, with expectations for a recovery in Q3 wind power demand [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 753 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37.38%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 68 million yuan, down 74.62% year-on-year, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 42 million yuan, down 83.88% year-on-year. In Q2 2024, revenue was 353 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 29.01%, with a net profit of 48 million yuan, down 49.41% year-on-year [4][10] Market Conditions - Q2 2024 saw weak demand for wind power, leading to lower raw silk sales. The company’s revenue in Q1 and Q2 was 401 million yuan and 353 million yuan respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter decline of 12% in Q2. The report anticipates a slight month-on-month increase in raw silk sales starting from Q3 2024 due to a recovery in wind power installations [4][10] Pricing and Profitability - The average price of T300 grade 25K carbon fiber in the first half of 2024 was 83,000 yuan per ton, with fluctuations due to weak demand and high inventory levels. The report indicates that raw silk prices are expected to remain stable with slight profits, as any significant price drop could lead to panic selling in the industry [4][10] Industry Trends - Since 2023, the industry has been operating below the loss line due to rapid price declines, leading some manufacturers to reduce production. The report highlights that the trend towards larger wind turbine blades replacing carbon fiber remains a long-term material upgrade trend, positioning the company as a competitive low-cost raw silk supplier [4][10]
吉林碳谷：公司更新报告：风电需求边际回暖，原丝保持微利