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2024年9月24日国新办新闻发布会学习体会:央行推出重磅政策,经济市场迎来反转时刻?
2024-09-25 08:12

Policy Measures - The central bank will lower the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, providing approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity[1] - The 7-day reverse repurchase rate will be reduced by 0.2 percentage points from 1.7% to 1.5%[1] - Existing mortgage rates will be lowered by about 0.5 percentage points, saving households approximately 150 billion yuan annually[1] Real Estate Policies - The minimum down payment for first and second homes will be unified to 15%[1] - The central bank's support for affordable housing refinancing will increase from 60% to 100%[1] - Policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market will be extended until the end of 2026[1] Monetary Policy Tools - Two new monetary policy tools will be created to support stock market stability, including a 500 billion yuan swap facility for financial institutions[1] - A special re-loan program for stock buybacks will be initiated with an initial scale of 300 billion yuan[1] Market Outlook - The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to see gains similar to the average spring rally since 2016, contingent on fiscal policy support[1] - If fiscal policies are robust, the market may experience a long-term reversal opportunity; otherwise, gains may be limited[1] Risk Factors - The effectiveness of policies may be weaker than expected, and market confidence may take time to recover[1] - The real estate market remains sluggish, which could hinder overall economic recovery[1]