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宏观视角看924三部委一揽子政策
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-09-25 08:14

Group 1 - The report highlights a series of policies announced on September 24, aimed at supporting high-quality economic development, covering monetary policy, capital markets, and real estate, with a stronger-than-expected impact [5][6] - The timing of the announcement, with only one day between the notice and the event, suggests a proactive policy shift intended to restore confidence and stabilize the economy [6][7] - There is an expectation for additional policies to be introduced, including new fiscal tools and consumption promotion measures, particularly in light of weak domestic demand and low prices [7][8] Group 2 - The report suggests that mergers and acquisitions may accelerate to address low prices and improve industry concentration, as historical data indicates that supply-side reforms have been effective in combating price stagnation [10][11] - The central bank is expected to utilize secondary market transactions of government bonds as a primary channel for injecting medium to long-term liquidity, following a series of monetary easing measures [11][12] - Specific policies targeting the real estate sector have been introduced, primarily encouraging leverage, to foster a positive cycle in the market [11]