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市场分析:成长行业领涨 A股震荡上行
Zhongyuan Securities·2024-09-25 11:03

Market Overview - The A-share market opened high and experienced slight fluctuations, with the index facing resistance around 2952 points during the day. The market showed an overall upward trend, with strong performances in sectors such as internet services, cultural media, medical devices, and aerospace military industry, while sectors like liquor, small metals, food and beverage, and home appliances performed poorly [2][3][6]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The current average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are 12.26 times and 26.45 times, respectively, which are below the median levels of the past three years, indicating that the market valuation remains low and is suitable for medium to long-term investments [3][11]. - The total trading volume for both markets on Wednesday was 11,621 billion yuan, which is above the median trading volume of the past three years [3][11]. - The recent release of the "New National Nine Articles" is expected to promote market maturity and boost long-term market confidence. Additionally, the Central Political Bureau meeting has enhanced confidence, with expectations for macroeconomic regulation to strengthen in the second half of the year [3][11]. - The People's Bank of China has indicated plans to implement measures such as reserve requirement ratio cuts, interest rate reductions, and adjustments to existing mortgage rates to stimulate the domestic economy and support stock market development [3][11]. - The Federal Reserve has entered a rate-cutting cycle, with an unexpected 50 basis point cut, although future rate cuts may be limited based on recent statements from Chairman Powell [3][11]. - With the expectation of enhanced domestic macroeconomic regulation and ongoing growth stabilization policies, the market is likely to stabilize and rise, with future stock indices expected to maintain an upward trend. Investors are advised to focus on short-term investment opportunities in sectors such as internet services, cultural media, medical devices, and aerospace military industry [3][11].