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天风证券:晨会集萃-20240926
Tianfeng Securities·2024-09-26 01:05

Group 1: Macro Strategy and Policy Insights - The State Council is focusing on promoting venture capital development, emphasizing the need for state-owned capital to act as long-term and patient capital [1][9] - The Federal Reserve has initiated a rate cut for the first time in over four years, reducing the federal funds rate target range by 50 basis points to 4.75% to 5.00%, marking a shift from a tightening to a loosening monetary policy cycle [1][9] - The report highlights the expectation of continued policy support to stimulate economic growth and stabilize the stock and real estate markets [3][9] Group 2: Industry Performance and Recommendations - The card game industry is identified as the fastest-growing segment within the toy category, with a market size exceeding 100 billion, and a projected CAGR of 20.6% from 2022 to 2027 [1][2] - The motorcycle industry is experiencing a shift towards high-displacement models, with domestic penetration rates currently below 5%, indicating significant growth potential [2][3] - The food and beverage sector shows stable revenue growth, with Q2 2024 revenue reaching 15.895 billion and net profit increasing by 238.6% year-on-year [2][3] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - The report on Giant Bio indicates a strong performance in H1 2024, with revenue of 2.54 billion, a 58.2% increase, and a net profit of 980 million, up 47.4% [11] - Terui De's H1 2024 revenue reached 6.332 billion, a 12.93% increase, with net profit doubling to 193 million, reflecting strong growth in both traditional and electric vehicle charging businesses [12][13] - The report anticipates that Terui De's net profit will reach 1.26 billion by 2026, with a corresponding PE ratio of 14X, maintaining a "buy" rating [12][13]