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高途:收入增长超预期,投入加大利润承压
GOTUGaotu(GOTU)2024-09-26 07:38

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of 5.00,indicatinganupsidepotentialof81.65.00, indicating an upside potential of 81.6% from the last closing price of 3.05 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 38.7% year-on-year for FY24Q2, reaching 1.009 billion RMB, exceeding previous guidance [2]. - Non-GAAP operating loss was 453 million RMB, compared to a profit of 50 million RMB in the same period last year, indicating pressure on profitability due to increased investments [2]. - Cash reserves stood at 4.1 billion RMB with no interest-bearing debt, and comparable cash collections grew over 87% year-on-year to 1.65 billion RMB [2]. - The K9 business segment showed significant growth, accounting for over 20% of total revenue, with cash collections from new students increasing by over 200% [2]. - The company expects FY24Q3 revenue growth of 50.5%-53%, projecting revenue between 1.188 billion and 1.208 billion RMB [2]. Financial Performance Summary - FY24Q2 revenue was 1.009 billion RMB, up 38.7% year-on-year, surpassing the guidance of 908-928 million RMB [2]. - Non-GAAP operating profit for FY24Q2 was -453 million RMB, compared to a profit of 50 million RMB in the previous year [2]. - The company anticipates a deferred revenue growth of 71% year-on-year to 1.582 billion RMB for FY24Q3, which is expected to convert into revenue in the second half of FY24 [2]. - The gross margin for FY24Q1 was 69.0%, down 4.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased costs from business expansion [2]. - The sales expense ratio increased to 82.7%, up 36.6 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting higher customer acquisition costs for the summer enrollment season [2]. Valuation and Future Outlook - The report adjusts the FY24 net profit forecast to -790 million RMB, indicating expected losses in the next 1-2 years due to significant upfront investments for expansion [2]. - The valuation is based on a discount rate of 12% and a perpetual growth rate of 3% [2]. - The company is recognized as a leading player in the domestic online education sector, actively expanding its offline teaching network with nearly 100 teaching locations nationwide [2].