Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Tencent Holdings [2] Core Insights - Tencent is undergoing a strategic transformation driven by AI, with a focus on organizational restructuring and cloud business profitability milestones. The CEO, Ma Huateng, emphasized that AI is the only area worth significant investment at this time, and the company has successfully transitioned to self-developed products [2][3] - The launch of the "Yuanbao" project marks a significant step in Tencent's "AI + social" strategy, aiming to enhance user engagement through integrated social features and AI capabilities. Tencent plans to invest 1 billion yuan to promote this initiative, targeting exponential growth in AI user numbers during the 2026 Spring Festival [3] - Tencent's gaming business is thriving, with overseas revenue exceeding 10 billion USD, accounting for approximately 30% of total gaming revenue. The company has regained confidence in its core gaming operations, providing stable cash flow and growth potential [4] - In response to challenges in the short drama sector, Tencent Video is shifting towards an "advertising-driven" model while maintaining high-quality long-form content. The company has already produced several successful short drama projects and is exploring new ways to balance content depth and traffic efficiency [5] Summary by Sections Strategic Overview - Tencent's current strategy focuses on AI-driven organizational restructuring and achieving profitability in its cloud business, with a clear commitment to investing in AI technologies [2] AI Initiatives - The "Yuanbao" project represents a critical advancement in Tencent's AI and social strategy, integrating various social features and aiming for significant user growth through substantial promotional investments [3] Gaming Performance - Tencent's gaming division is performing robustly, with a notable increase in overseas revenue, showcasing the company's strong competitive advantage and ability to adapt to market changes [4] Content Strategy - Tencent Video is adapting to market pressures by transitioning to an advertising-driven model while continuing to invest in high-quality content, aiming to leverage its large user base for enhanced revenue generation [5]

公司评论 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com.hk 2026 年 1 月 27 日 【公司评论】 但玉翠 852 2532 1539 tracy.dan@firstshanghai.com.hk 管理团队介绍 加科思的核心管理团队以创始人王印祥博士为核心，王印祥博士于 1999 年获得美国 阿肯色大学医学院生物化学及分子生物学博士学位，耶鲁大学的 Koleske 实验室分子 生物物理和生物化学系完成了博士后研究。2003 年 1 月共同创立了浙江贝达药业有 限公司，是贝达药业的创始人之一。王博拥有 20 多年小分子抗肿瘤药研发经验，曾 主导中国第一款靶向抗肿瘤药埃克替尼（凯美纳）的研发与上市。加科思目前管理团 队一半来自贝达药业，另一半为公司成立后引入的来自大药企和顶尖医院的各类人 才。25 年 11 月为推进全球化战略引入了联席首席执行官（Co-CEO）制度，联席 CEO、首席医学官(CMO) 王宜 (Andrea Wang-Gillam) 博士 20 年 7 月加入加科思，在 美国有 20 余年肿瘤医生经验，她在圣路易斯华盛顿大学医学中心担任肿瘤科副教 授，并曾兼任消化道 ...

First Call 策略 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com.hk 资料来源：第一上海 图表 2：组合表现 | | 组合表现 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 组合净值 | 组合波动 | 纳指ETF | | 2025-9 | 1.000 | | - | | 2025-10 | 1.086 | 8.60% | 5.55% | | 2025-11 | 1.042 | -4.05% | -1.56% | | 2025-12 | 1.057 | 1.44% | -0.67% | | 2026.1 (截至1.23日) | 1.175 | 11.16% | 1.37% | 资料来源：第一上海 周内调仓： 第一上海证券有限公司 www.mystockhk.com ➢ 存储总仓位从 17%下调至 12%，海力士与三星将于 1.29 日同时发布财报，考虑 到外资盘占比高位，有较大波动可能性，因此下调仓位； ➢ 有色调整到 15%，核电上调至 18%； ➢ 商业航天核心标的 rklb 建仓 2%； 整体思路：在核电、有色上建立长期认知，在 AI/存储 ...

公司评论 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com.hk 2026 年 1 月 26 日 【公司评论】 特斯拉 2025Q4 业绩前瞻 李京霖 852-25321957 jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 唐伊莲 852-25321539 alice.tang@firstshanghai.com.hk | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 股价 | 449.06 美元 | | 市值 | 1.49 万亿美元 | | 总股本 | 33.26 亿股 | | 52 周高/低 | 499/214 美元 | | 每股净资产 | 24 美元 | 股价表现 特斯拉将于美国时间 1 月 28 日盘后，北京时间 29 日早上 6:30 召开 2025 年 第四季度业绩会。 Q4 预期：预计总收入为 244.9 亿美元，其中汽车收入为 172.9 亿美元，储能 收入为 38.3 亿美元，服务及其他收入为 33.8 亿美元。预计综合毛利率为 17.0%，其中根据 Visible Alpha 预期，汽车 Non-GAAP 毛利率为 14.3%，储 能毛利率为 2 ...

新力量 New Force 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com 【公司评论】 特斯拉 2025Q4 业绩前瞻 【行业评论】 互联网行业周报 【宏观经济评论】 第一上海——First Call 一月策略（二） 第一上海证券有限公司 香港中环德辅道中 71 号永安集团大厦 19 楼 咨询热线：400-882-1055 服务邮箱：Service@firstshanghai.com 网址：www.mystockhk.com 第一上海证券有限公司 www.mystockhk.com 总第 4952 期 2026 年 1 月 27 日 星期二 研究观点 第一上海 新力量 New Force 【公司评论】 | 李京霖 | | --- | 852-25321957 jinglin.li@firstshanghai.com.hk 唐伊莲 alice.tang@firstshanghai.com.hk | 行业 | 汽车 | | --- | --- | | 股价 | 449.06 美元 | | 市值 | 1.49 万亿美元 | | 总股本 | 33.26 亿股 | | 52 周高/低 | 499 ...

行业评论 第一上海研究部 research@firstshanghai.com.hk 2026 年 1 月 26 日 星期一 【行业评论】 科技行业周报：英特尔财报证实 CPU 紧缺 黄晨 +852-2532 1954 chen.huang@firstshanghai.com.hk 1 月 22 日盘后，英特尔（INTC）发布 25Q4 财报，营收 136.7 亿美元，同比下降 4.1%， 环比增长 3%。其中客户端计算业务（CCG）业务营收 81.9 亿美元，同比下降 6.6%； 数据中心和人工智能（DCAI）业务营收 47.4 亿美元，同比增长 8.9%；代工业务（Intel Foundry Services）营收 45.1 亿美元，同比增长 3.8%。26Q1 营收指引在 117 亿至 127 亿美元区间。公司的指引低于预期，原因在于产能紧张，预计 26Q2 开始供应 逐步回升。此外公司表示其 18A 良率仍未达到行业领先水平，仍将继续提升。关于 14A，目前有两家潜在客户正在探索基于此工艺制造的芯片，潜在客户对 14A PDK 0.5 版本的反馈是积极的。 我们认为英特尔业绩会证实了 CPU 的紧缺。 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for multiple companies within the retail, technology, and internet sectors, indicating a positive outlook for their future performance [11]. Core Insights - Alibaba's Qianwen app has surpassed 100 million monthly active users within two months of its launch, showcasing significant user growth and a strategic shift towards becoming a "super entry" for task management [4]. - WeChat's small store has entered a new growth phase, with a 1.7 times year-on-year increase in the average number of active merchants, and aims to enhance its e-commerce infrastructure through various initiatives [5]. - ByteDance's Douzi 2.0 has been launched, focusing on three core functionalities that aim to transform AI into a collaborative partner for workplace efficiency [9][10]. Summary by Sections Alibaba - The Qianwen app has achieved over 100 million monthly active users, marking a significant milestone in its growth trajectory [4]. - The app's recent update integrates various Alibaba ecosystem services and introduces a task assistant feature, indicating a strategic pivot towards practical AI applications [4]. Tencent - WeChat's small store has seen a 1.7 times increase in active merchants year-on-year, with plans to enhance brand presence through reduced deposit requirements and new social features [5]. - The projected gross merchandise volume (GMV) for WeChat's small store is expected to double in 2025, reaching between 0.6 to 1 trillion [5]. Pinduoduo - Pinduoduo is currently under investigation by multiple government departments, which may impact its business operations and marketing activities [6][7]. - The company has faced a fine of 100,000 yuan due to tax compliance issues, which could further affect its market position during peak shopping seasons [6][8]. ByteDance - The launch of Douzi 2.0 emphasizes a shift from a single-task AI tool to a comprehensive workplace assistant, enhancing user capabilities through modular skills and programming features [9][10]. - The new functionalities aim to create a closed-loop system for task management, promoting proactive engagement from the AI [10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 15.00, representing a potential upside of 37.7% from the current price of HKD 10.89 [6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of HKD 2.53 billion to HKD 2.57 billion in 2025, reflecting a growth of 45% to 60% compared to 2024, which aligns with the company's equity incentive targets [8]. - The TV segment has shown significant improvement, with a 5.3% increase in TV shipments to 21.08 million units in the first three quarters of 2025, and a remarkable 153% growth in global shipments of TCL MiniLED TVs [8]. - A joint venture with Sony is set to enhance global and high-end development, with TCL holding a 51% stake. This partnership is expected to leverage TCL's supply chain and cost control advantages alongside Sony's advanced imaging technology and brand value [8]. - The report anticipates that the collaboration will allow TCL to transition from "scale expansion" to "brand globalization," enhancing its market share in high-end segments [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from HKD 78.99 billion in 2023 to HKD 153.96 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.5% [4]. - The gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 15.7% by 2027, with net profit increasing from HKD 744 million in 2023 to HKD 3.51 billion in 2027 [4][9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from HKD 0.33 in 2023 to HKD 1.39 in 2027, indicating a strong growth trajectory [4][9]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 32.9x in 2023 to 7.8x by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation as earnings grow [4].

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company [3]. Core Insights - Mingming Busy Group is recognized as one of China's largest and fastest-growing chain retailers in the food and beverage sector, with a significant market presence and a strong growth trajectory [3][4]. - The company operates a vast network of 19,517 stores across 28 provinces and all tier-one cities in China, with approximately 59% of its stores located in county and town areas [4][9]. - The company reported a GMV of RMB 55.5 billion in 2024, with a substantial increase of 74.5% to RMB 66.1 billion for the nine months ending September 30, 2025 [4][10]. Company Overview - Mingming Busy Group operates under two brands: "Busy Snacks" and "Zhao Yiming Snacks," which were founded in 2017 and 2019, respectively. The company has adopted a dual-brand strategy post-merger to leverage complementary regional coverage and consumer recognition [5][6]. - The product range includes baked goods, snacks, beverages, and more, with a total of 3,997 SKUs as of September 30, 2025, and each store typically maintaining at least 1,800 SKUs [7][9]. Operational Model - The company primarily operates through a franchise model, generating revenue from sales to franchisees and franchise service fees [7][10]. - The operational strategy focuses on enhancing customer experience through store design and product variety, aiming to increase customer dwell time and brand recognition [9]. Financial Performance - Revenue has shown remarkable growth, increasing from RMB 4.29 billion in 2022 to RMB 39.34 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 203% [10][12]. - The gross profit margin remained stable between 7.5% and 7.6% from 2022 to 2024, improving to 9.7% for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, due to economies of scale and cost control [10][12]. - Adjusted net profit increased significantly from RMB 81.5 million in 2022 to RMB 912.6 million in 2024, with a net profit margin rising to 3.4% for the nine months ending September 30, 2025 [10][12]. Strategic Advantages - The company benefits from a strong supply chain, innovative product development, and a well-established brand image, which contribute to its competitive edge in the market [16]. - The management team is noted for its strategic vision and commitment to operational excellence, focusing on digital transformation and supply chain optimization [16].

Market Performance - As of the beginning of 2026, the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.13%, the S&P 500 by 1.43%, and the Russell 2000 by 7.96%[5] - The VIX index decreased by 26.8%, indicating reduced market volatility[5] - There is a strong expectation of significant market fluctuations in the second half of the year, with a focus on small-cap stocks driven by policy and macroeconomic factors[5] Employment Trends - The unemployment rate shows significant structural differentiation among ethnic groups, with the highest slope for Black individuals, moderate for Hispanic, and stability for White individuals[5] - Job losses are notably present in interest-sensitive sectors like real estate and manufacturing, with the gig economy impacting Black workers the most[5] - A potential economic recovery may occur when interest rates begin to decline, with Black and Hispanic employment likely to recover before White employment[5] Sector Insights - The electricity sector saw a 13% increase in U.S. electricity prices last year, with ongoing affordability concerns linked to electoral outcomes[6] - The nuclear power sector is expected to experience significant growth due to policy changes and increased demand for long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs)[6] - The metals sector is facing short-term corrections due to tariff fears, but long-term demand for strategic resources remains strong[6] AI and Technology - The storage sector is identified as having the highest certainty for growth, driven by advancements in AI and hardware architecture[6] - The valuation reconstruction in the AI infrastructure space is expected to yield high returns, with a focus on overcoming supply constraints[6]