Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 34 RMB, compared to the current price of 24.05 RMB [1] Core Views - The company is a leader in the network range field and a pioneer in digital security testing and evaluation, leveraging its core technology to provide comprehensive solutions across various security scenarios [1] - The company's revenue has shown consistent growth over the past four years, with digital security testing and evaluation contributing 25.52% of total revenue in 2023 and 37.53% in the first half of 2024, becoming a new growth driver [1] - The network range market is expanding, and the digital security testing and evaluation sector is creating incremental growth opportunities, supported by the implementation of cybersecurity laws and regulations [1] - The company's network range technology is leading, and its "Digital Wind Tunnel" product has gained a first-mover advantage in the digital security testing and evaluation sector [1] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 486 million RMB, 694 million RMB, and 977 million RMB in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits attributable to the parent company of 70 million RMB, 105 million RMB, and 158 million RMB [1][2] - The company's revenue growth rates for 2024-2026 are projected at 22.7%, 43.0%, and 40.6%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 124.0%, 51.1%, and 50.3% [2] Industry Analysis - The Chinese cybersecurity market is expected to grow to 20.2 billion USD by 2028, with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.7% [1][6] - The network range market in China is in its early stages, with significant growth potential, projected to reach 3.1 billion RMB by 2023, with a CAGR of 56.41% from 2019 [1] - The global cybersecurity market is expected to grow from 215 billion USD in 2023 to 373.29 billion USD in 2028, with a CAGR of 11.7% [34] Company Strengths - The company has a strong technical foundation in network range technology, having won the Beijing Science and Technology Award in 2019 and the National Science and Technology Progress Award in 2023 [1][47] - The company has launched the "Digital Wind Tunnel" product system, which has become a new growth driver, contributing 1.01 billion RMB in revenue in 2023 [1][6] - The company has a stable equity structure, with the chairman and vice chairman holding a combined 50.94% of the shares, ensuring strong control and decision-making [16] Market Opportunities - The increasing complexity of cybersecurity threats, such as ransomware and advanced persistent threats (APTs), creates significant opportunities for the company's digital security testing and evaluation services [40] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the transition from "formal compliance" to "substantive compliance" in the cybersecurity industry, driven by stricter regulations and the need for more robust security measures [1][6] Financial Performance - The company's revenue has grown steadily from 163 million RMB in 2019 to 396 million RMB in 2023, with digital security testing and evaluation contributing 1.01 billion RMB in 2023 [20][22] - The company's gross margin was 55.09% in 2023, with digital security testing and evaluation achieving a gross margin of 57.21% [24] - The company has increased its R&D investment, with R&D expenses growing by 21.89% in the first half of 2024 [26] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on the "300×300" strategic goal, aiming to provide comprehensive digital transformation security solutions to key industries, ensuring sustainable growth [53] - The company is increasing its R&D efforts in areas such as AI, digital security testing and evaluation, and data security, with R&D expenses reaching 84 million RMB in 2023 [54][56]
永信至诚:深度研究报告:网络靶场领军者,数字安全测试评估领跑者
Integrity Technology (688244) 华创证券·2024-09-27 12:17