Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation sector [2] Core Insights - The transportation sector saw an increase of 11.1% this week, underperforming the broader market. The top-performing sub-sectors included the airline index (15.9%), logistics composite index (14.9%), and airport index (13.5%) [2][10] - The report highlights a positive outlook for the airline sector driven by macroeconomic changes, falling oil prices, and a strengthening RMB, with expectations for continued upward movement in airline stocks [5][11] Summary by Sections Key Targets - Recommended stocks include: - Jixiang Airlines: Projected P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 14.93X, 8.79X, and 8.10X, with expected performance improvement due to strong demand [11] - Spring Airlines: Projected P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 17.12X, 13.53X, and 12.70X, benefiting from cost control and market leadership [11] - Huaxia Airlines: Projected P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 20.79X, 8.87X, and 7.51X, with a focus on regional market growth [11] - Southern Airlines: Projected P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 34.38X, 12.77X, and 9.72X, with a strong recovery expected [11] - China Eastern Airlines: Projected P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 41.65X, 12.29X, and 9.43X, with advantages in international routes [11] - Shanghai Airport: Projected P/E ratios for 2024-2026 are 43.30X, 33.31X, and 26.01X, with stable investment returns anticipated [11] Airline Data Tracking - Average daily flights from September 23 to September 27 showed varied increases among major airlines, with Jixiang Airlines seeing a 14.51% week-on-week increase [4][23] - Average aircraft utilization rates increased across most airlines, with Jixiang Airlines achieving 8.30 hours per day, a 12.16% increase week-on-week [4][32] Airport Data Tracking - Domestic flight operations increased, with Shenzhen Bao'an Airport reporting a 8.36% week-on-week rise in average daily flights [5] - Passenger throughput data as of August 31 shows significant year-on-year increases across major airports, with Shanghai Airport seeing a 22.24% increase [42][45]
三重催化叠加,继续看多航空
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-09-29 01:03