保险行业8月月报:预定利率下调带动寿险短期高增长,产险保费增速平稳
Haitong Securities·2024-09-30 10:09

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the insurance industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The insurance sector is experiencing short-term high growth, particularly in life insurance premiums, which saw a significant year-on-year increase of 54% in August, a substantial rise compared to July [1]. - Health insurance premiums increased by 21% year-on-year, while property insurance premiums grew steadily by 9% [1]. - The report highlights improvements on both the liability and asset sides, indicating a low valuation and high safety margin, supporting the "Outperform" rating [1]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - In the first eight months of 2024, life insurance original premiums reached 3.4136 trillion yuan, up 15.9% year-on-year, with total premiums at 3.8853 trillion yuan, a 13.4% increase [1]. - August saw a monthly premium income of 310.3 billion yuan, a 54.1% increase compared to the same month last year, marking a significant acceleration from July [1][8]. - The surge in August is attributed to a pre-sale peak due to adjustments in traditional insurance rates and a low base from the previous year [1]. Health Insurance - Health insurance premiums for the first eight months of 2024 increased by 8.9% year-on-year, with August premiums rising by 20.7% compared to July [1][9]. - The report suggests that health insurance can provide stable contributions to profitability, reducing reliance on investment returns [1]. Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums reached 1.1657 trillion yuan in the first eight months of 2024, reflecting a 5.5% year-on-year increase, with August premiums at 125.7 billion yuan, up 9% [1][9]. - The growth in auto insurance is stable, with a year-on-year increase of 3.2% in the first eight months, while non-auto insurance premiums grew by 7.8% [1]. Market Conditions - The report notes that the current market demand for savings remains strong, and the pressure on insurance companies' interest margins is expected to gradually ease due to regulatory guidance [1]. - The valuation of the insurance sector is currently at historical lows, with a P/EV ratio between 0.49 and 0.87 for September 2024, indicating a favorable investment environment [1].