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医药有望成反弹主力,看好“复苏”+“成长”
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-10-08 02:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to be a leading force in the market rebound, driven by recovery and growth dynamics. The report highlights a significant market reversal in September 2024, with the pharmaceutical sector rising by 21.34%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by approximately 0.38% [2][11][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of recent fiscal and monetary policies that have stimulated market confidence and liquidity, suggesting that the pharmaceutical sector is poised for substantial capital inflow [4][12] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The report recommends increasing positions in the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in companies like WuXi AppTec, Aier Eye Hospital, and others, due to their strong growth potential and market recovery prospects [5][16] - Key recommended stocks for October include WuXi AppTec, Aier Eye Hospital, Zhifei Biological Products, Kangfang Bio, Dong'e Ejiao, Betta Pharmaceuticals, and others [16][18] Market Performance - In September 2024, the pharmaceutical sector saw a significant increase, with sub-sectors such as medical services and biological products showing impressive gains of 37.04% and 22.85%, respectively [11][26] - The overall valuation of the pharmaceutical sector is currently at 23.7 times PE, which is a premium of 26.1% compared to the overall A-share market (excluding financials) [27][28] Policy Impact - The report discusses the positive effects of government policies aimed at stimulating consumption and investment, which are expected to benefit the pharmaceutical sector, particularly in areas like consumer healthcare and innovative drugs [4][12][20] - Recent initiatives, such as the "Guidance on Promoting Healthy Rural Construction," are anticipated to enhance healthcare access in rural areas, further supporting growth in the pharmaceutical market [20][21] Company Analysis - WuXi AppTec is highlighted for its leadership in the contract research organization (CRO) space, with a strong growth outlook supported by global financing improvements [15] - Aier Eye Hospital is noted for its dominant position in the ophthalmology market, with significant growth potential in its service offerings [15] - Zhifei Biological Products is recognized for its strong vaccine portfolio and potential for valuation recovery [15] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the pharmaceutical sector is likely to attract significant investment due to its strong recovery narrative and the ongoing innovation in drug development [4][12][11] - The anticipated continuation of favorable policies and market conditions is expected to sustain the upward momentum in the pharmaceutical sector [4][12]