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化工行业周报:Adnoc收购科思创终落定;政策加码促基化行业估值修复
ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-10-09 00:37

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the chemical industry [1] Core Views - The acquisition of Covestro by ADNOC has been finalized, and policy enhancements are expected to promote valuation recovery in the basic chemical industry [1] - The basic chemical industry has shown a year-on-year increase in revenue and profit for Q2 2024, but capital expenditure has seen a negative growth for three consecutive quarters [8] - The report highlights that the current market conditions present a good opportunity for investment in quality stocks within the chemical sector, especially as macroeconomic expectations improve [8] Summary by Sections Key Investment Points - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the macroeconomic environment and the potential for recovery in the real estate market, which could boost domestic chemical demand [1] - The report notes that the capital expenditure in the industry has been declining, reflecting reduced expansion intentions among companies [8] Oil Industry Tracking - OPEC+ has indicated a weakening of supply-side support for oil prices, with geopolitical uncertainties remaining a concern [8] - The report mentions that Brent oil prices have recently increased due to escalating geopolitical tensions, highlighting the need to monitor the situation closely [8] Chemical Industry Tracking - The report discusses various segments within the chemical industry, including food additives, tire manufacturing, refrigerants, and MDI, noting price stability and potential for price increases in certain areas [2][3] - The report indicates that the supply of refrigerants is expected to contract significantly due to quota restrictions, leading to a notable recovery in industry conditions [2] Specific Company Insights - Companies such as Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengrui, and Baofeng Energy are highlighted as key players with strong growth potential in the current market environment [1] - The report also mentions the performance of major oil companies, noting their focus on shareholder returns and capital management amidst fluctuating oil prices [8]