证券行业动态跟踪:政策推动下证券板块投资机会凸显
Orient Securities·2024-10-09 08:11

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the securities industry in China [1]. Core Insights - The A-share market has seen significant growth, with historical highs in trading volume. In September, the ChiNext Index, CSI 300, and SSE Composite Index rose by +37.6%, +21.0%, and +17.4% respectively, while the Wind Securities Index increased by +42.14%. The average daily trading volume in September reached 796.91 billion yuan, with a peak of 2,611.49 billion yuan on September 30 [2][3]. - A combination of monetary policy tools, mergers and acquisitions, and the influx of medium to long-term capital is driving high-quality development in the capital market. Recent policies aim to enhance macroeconomic adjustments, support enterprises, stabilize the real estate market, and boost the capital market [2]. - The bull market is expected to lead to performance recovery that may exceed expectations. Increased trading activity is likely to boost commission income from brokerage services, with a significant rise in new account openings reported [2][3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The A-share market has experienced a notable increase in trading volume and value, with September marking a historical peak in trading activity [2]. - The average daily trading volume for September was 796.91 billion yuan, with the last five trading days averaging 1,473.92 billion yuan [2]. Policy Impact - A series of policies have been introduced to stimulate the capital market, including structural monetary policy tools and support for mergers and acquisitions [2]. - The People's Bank of China has implemented measures such as a 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and adjustments to loan pricing mechanisms to enhance liquidity [2]. Industry Outlook - The securities sector is positioned for continued growth, with a current PB (LF) valuation of 1.53, which is below historical median levels, indicating potential for upward movement [3][8]. - Key recommendations include Tiger Brokers and Futu Holdings, with additional attention suggested for Huatai Securities, China Galaxy, CITIC Securities, CICC, and招商证券 [3][8].