Eastroc Beverage(SH:605499) Guolian Securities·2024-10-10 10:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6]. Core Views - The company continues to show strong performance, leading to an upward revision of profit expectations. Projected revenues for 2024-2026 are 15.975 billion, 20.242 billion, and 24.586 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.84%, 26.71%, and 21.46% respectively. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 3.204 billion, 4.185 billion, and 5.240 billion yuan, with growth rates of 57.10%, 30.61%, and 25.20% respectively, resulting in a three-year CAGR of 36.96% [3][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue of 12.4-12.72 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.50%-47.21%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 2.6-2.73 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 57.04%-64.89% [10]. - For Q3 alone, the expected revenue is 4.527-4.847 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 42.32%-52.38%. The net profit is projected to be 869-999 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 58.80%-82.55% [10]. Market Expansion - The company is actively pursuing a national expansion strategy, which is driving terminal sales. The energy drink segment is expected to maintain good growth, with a trend towards younger and more diverse consumer demographics. The company is also enhancing its marketing efforts in areas like esports and street dance [10]. Valuation Metrics - The projected PE ratios for 2024-2026 are 35, 27, and 22 respectively. The company is transitioning from a leader in energy drinks to a broader beverage platform, supported by strong performance in its second growth curve and increased shareholder returns through semi-annual dividends [3][10].