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高盛:中国新能源汽车周报 2024 年第 39 周 - NEVPV 销量 +43%+44% 哇;NEVICE 经销商折扣缩小扩大哇
GXEDGXED(SH:600617)2024-10-10 13:39

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within the New Energy Vehicle (NEV) sector. Core Insights - The NEV sector in China is experiencing significant growth, with weekly insurance registrations for passenger vehicles reaching 658k units, a 44.3% increase week-over-week (wow) from 456k units. New energy vehicle registrations also saw a rise to 327k units, up 43.4% wow from 228k units [8][10]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles is at 49.7%, showing a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous week [8]. - BYD Group, Tesla China, and Li Auto are the top three companies in terms of market share, holding 33.8%, 6.9%, and 4.3% respectively [10]. Summary by Sections NEV Market Performance - NEV weekly insurance registration was 327k units, +43.4% wow from 228k units in the previous week [8]. - The overall passenger vehicle weekly insurance registration was 658k units, +44.3% wow from 456k units [8]. - NEV penetration was 49.7%, down 0.3pp from 50.0% [8]. Brand Performance - Fangchengbao, Denza, and XPeng showed the strongest volume growth of 104%, 100%, and 80% respectively [10]. - Tesla China, Aion, and XPeng gained market share by 0.9pp, 0.4pp, and 0.4pp respectively, while BYD Group, Li Auto, and AITO lost market share by 2.6pp, 0.9pp, and 0.4pp respectively [10]. Pricing Dynamics - The average discount of dealer prices vs. MSRPs for NEVs was 7.71% as of September 30, down from 8.10% on September 23 [4]. - The average discount for ICE vehicles was 21.07% as of September 30, slightly up from 20.93% [5]. - Battery grade lithium carbonate price was Rmb78.3k/ton, +2.0% wow, and LFP prismatic cell price was Rmb0.350/Wh, flat wow [6]. Trade-in Applications - As of September 25, the Ministry of Commerce's trade-in information platform received over 1.13 million applications for the auto trade-in subsidy program, with an average of 10k new applications daily during the period of September 23-25 [11][12]. Upcoming Events - Key events to watch include the NEV OEM monthly volume release on October 1 and the Shenzhen Auto Show from October 1-5 [15][16].