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锂电池行业动态跟踪:国补地补齐发力,量增价稳电车行业β转正,锂电板块有望持续引领反弹
Huafu Securities·2024-10-11 09:40

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Strongly Outperforming the Market" with expectations of relative performance exceeding the market benchmark by over 5% in the next 6 to 12 months [3][7]. Core Insights - The electric vehicle market is experiencing a non-seasonal demand boost due to government subsidies and policies that stimulate replacement demand, leading to improved market conditions [2]. - The price competition in the new energy vehicle sector has eased, allowing for stabilization in battery and material prices, which is expected to positively impact the lithium battery sector [2]. - Production of battery cells is showing a positive growth trend, particularly in lithium iron phosphate cells, indicating strong demand in both power and energy storage sectors [2]. Summary by Sections Market Demand - The electric vehicle market in August showed resilience, driven by price recovery strategies from manufacturers and the introduction of national and local subsidies [2]. - The terminal market's performance has improved since September, with local subsidies enhancing demand without strict vehicle scrappage requirements [2]. Price Competition - The initial easing of price competition in the new energy vehicle market is attributed to channel consolidation and the introduction of various subsidies [2]. - The focus has shifted towards product capabilities and user experience, with technological advancements in features like smart driving and fast charging becoming more prominent [2]. Production Trends - In October, production of ternary batteries reached 18.9 GWh, while lithium iron phosphate batteries saw a production of 69.0 GWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 43% [2]. - All segments of lithium battery production, including cathodes, anodes, separators, and electrolytes, are showing positive growth trends compared to previous months [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong inventory management and cost advantages, such as CATL, Shanshan Technology, and others [2]. - It also highlights companies with increasing penetration of new technologies, including solid-state batteries and silicon anodes, as potential investment opportunities [2].