Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [9] Core Viewpoints - The inclusion of assisted reproductive technology (ART) in medical insurance across four additional provinces (Hunan, Shanxi, Sichuan, Guangdong) is expected to enhance the penetration rate of the industry, with a total of 23 provinces now covering ART under insurance [2][9] - The Chinese population is facing a significant decline, with a total population of 1.40967 billion at the end of 2023, marking a decrease of 2.08 million from the previous year, which has prompted the government to implement policies to encourage childbirth, thereby benefiting the assisted reproductive industry [3] - The integration of ART into medical insurance reduces the financial burden on patients, which is anticipated to further increase the penetration rate of assisted reproductive services [4][9] - The demand for assisted reproductive services is on the rise due to a growing number of infertility cases, with the infertility rate increasing from 11.9% in 2007-2010 to an expected 18% in 2020, leading to a significant market opportunity for ART [5][8] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The assisted reproductive service penetration rate in China is projected to be 9.2% in 2023, significantly lower than Europe (36.0%) and the United States (33.0%), indicating substantial growth potential in the Chinese market [8] Policy Impact - The Chinese government has progressively relaxed population policies, transitioning from the "two-child" policy in 2015 to the "three-child" policy in 2021, which supports the growth of the assisted reproductive sector [3] Market Dynamics - The financial support from medical insurance for ART services is expected to alleviate patient costs, thereby driving higher adoption rates and expanding the market [4][9]
医疗服务行业事件点评:新增四省份将辅助生殖纳入医保,行业渗透率有望继续提升
Xiangcai Securities·2024-10-14 03:39