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汽车与零配件行业跟踪报告:9月乘用车市场逐渐回暖,“金九”效应继续显现
Haitong Securities·2024-10-15 03:39

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the automotive industry in 2024, indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the broader market [5]. Core Insights - The automotive market in September showed a recovery with significant month-on-month growth in production and sales, although year-on-year figures showed slight declines [4][5]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 53.3% in September, reflecting strong growth in both wholesale and retail sales of NEVs [4]. - The report highlights the ongoing transition towards electric and intelligent vehicles, with domestic brands showing competitive advantages in the NEV sector [4]. Summary by Sections Production and Sales Data - In September, total vehicle production and sales reached 2.796 million and 2.809 million units, respectively, with month-on-month increases of 12.2% and 14.5%, while year-on-year figures decreased by 1.9% and 1.7% [3]. - Passenger vehicle production and sales were 2.502 million and 2.525 million units, with month-on-month growth of 12.6% and 15.8%, and year-on-year increases of 0.2% and 1.5% [3]. - Commercial vehicle production and sales were 294,000 and 284,000 units, showing month-on-month growth but significant year-on-year declines [3]. Retail and Wholesale Performance - Retail sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.109 million units in September, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.5% and a month-on-month increase of 10.6% [4]. - The wholesale volume for NEVs reached 1.231 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 48.1% and a month-on-month increase of 17.2% [4]. New Energy Vehicle Insights - The wholesale penetration rate for NEVs was 49.1%, while the retail penetration rate was 53.3%, both showing significant increases compared to the previous year [4]. - The report notes that NEVs accounted for 24.2% of total vehicle exports in September, with a total of 355,000 passenger vehicles exported in the first nine months of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32% [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Weichai Power, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, BYD, Great Wall Motors, and others, indicating a diverse range of investment opportunities within the automotive sector [5].