Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the gaming industry, consistent with the previous rating [3] Core Viewpoints - The gaming market has shown signs of recovery after experiencing a decline from April to July, with significant improvements in August and September, suggesting a positive trend for the industry [3][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of product pipelines for A/H share gaming companies from late 2024 to 2025, which could drive the recovery of their fundamentals [3] Summary by Sections 1. Gaming Market Overview - The gaming market experienced negative growth in Q2 2024, but began to recover in August, with revenue growth of 15.1% and 14.9% in August and September respectively, indicating a significant recovery trend [4][9] - Mobile gaming revenue was a key driver of this recovery, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.5% in September [4][12] - The market is witnessing a dual trend of heavy content consumption and lightweight gaming, with significant growth in console and mini-program games [12][10] 2. A-Share Companies - Key companies like Kaeing and 37 Interactive are actively preparing for product launches in 2025, with a rich pipeline of titles [4][19] - Kaeing has several anticipated releases, including "Rainbow Orange" and "Tomb Raider: Journey," with a strong IP portfolio supporting future growth [19][20] - 37 Interactive is set to launch "Tomb Raider: Soul World" and has a robust pipeline of self-developed and agency titles [22][23] - Gigabit is expected to release "M72" and "M88" in 2025, with additional projects in development [24][25] - Perfect World is focusing on the highly anticipated open-world game "Yihuan," with strong pre-launch interest [26][27] 3. Hong Kong Stock Companies - Tencent and NetEase lead in terms of project reserves, with Tencent focusing on self-owned IP and global collaborations [45] - Tencent's project lineup includes various genres, particularly in shooting games, with a focus on titles like "Valorant" [45] - NetEase is also developing several promising titles, including "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" and "FragPunk" [45] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report expresses optimism for the gaming industry, driven by favorable policies, improved player appreciation for quality products, and a rich pipeline of upcoming titles from various companies [4] - Recommended companies include Kaeing, 37 Interactive, and Gigabit, which have strong product reserves and competitive advantages [4]
传播文化业行业更新:行业改善、产品充足,看好游戏行业修复趋势
Guotai Junan Securities·2024-10-17 09:38