Investment Rating - Buy rating (first coverage) [1] Core Views - The company has a diversified business layout covering water treatment, solid waste disposal, green energy, and high-end equipment manufacturing, with a "4+1" operational development model [1] - The company has abundant orders in traditional environmental protection fields, with nearly 50 billion yuan in water environment orders and 31.41 billion yuan in solid waste orders [2] - The company is expanding its second growth curve through hydrogen energy and photovoltaic projects, with a 10 billion yuan investment in a hydrogen energy equipment base and a 30.2 billion yuan investment in a 2GW photovoltaic project [2] - The company has signed a 7 billion yuan investment agreement with Nanning for environmental governance and high-end equipment manufacturing projects [2] Business Overview - The company started with landfill leachate treatment and has expanded into water treatment, solid waste disposal, green energy, and high-end equipment manufacturing [1] - The company has five major business segments: water environment management, solid waste disposal and resource utilization, green energy, high-end environmental equipment manufacturing, and third-party services [10] - The company has a strong presence in water environment management, with over 50 projects and a cumulative construction scale exceeding 500,000 tons/day [25] Order Backlog - The company has a total of 164.2 billion yuan in environmental orders, with 152.56 billion yuan remaining after deducting completed orders as of March 2024 [2] - In the water environment sector, the company has 60.8 billion yuan in orders, including 24.56 billion yuan in general construction and 36.23 billion yuan in investment construction [2] - In the solid waste sector, the company has 31.41 billion yuan in orders, with 31.24 billion yuan in investment construction projects [2] Second Growth Curve - The company is investing 10 billion yuan in a hydrogen energy equipment base, with an expected annual production capacity of 120,000 Nm³/h ALK electrolyzers and 30,000 Nm³/h SOEC equipment [2] - The company is investing 30.2 billion yuan in a 2GW photovoltaic project, with an expected annual power generation of over 1.4 billion kWh and an annual output value of 350 million yuan [2] R&D and Innovation - The company is collaborating with universities and research institutions, including Huazhong University of Science and Technology and Xi'an Jiaotong University, to develop technologies in hydrogen energy, solid waste disposal, and deep-sea robotics [3] - The company has established joint R&D centers and pilot platforms, with academicians and industry experts serving as advisors [3] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.726 billion yuan, 3.99 billion yuan, and 5.098 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3] - Net profits are projected to be 404 million yuan, 642 million yuan, and 833 million yuan for the same periods, with P/E ratios of 14x, 9x, and 7x [3] Market Performance - The company's stock price has risen by 19.7% in the past month, 18.2% in the past three months, and 39.8% in the past year, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2] - The current stock price is 9.48 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 5.61 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 3.35 billion yuan [2]
天源环保：公司深度研究：在手订单充沛，第二增长曲线景气度高