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汽车行业点评:以旧换新政策拉动汽车销量,9月乘用车市场回暖
Caixin Securities·2024-10-18 02:00

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In line with the market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The automotive market is experiencing a recovery driven by the vehicle replacement policy, with a notable increase in sales and production figures for both traditional and new energy vehicles [5][6] - In September, retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.109 million units, a year-on-year increase of 4.5% and a month-on-month increase of 10.6% [5] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles in September was 53.3%, up from 36.9% in the same month last year, indicating strong growth in this segment [5] - The report highlights the positive impact of government subsidies for vehicle replacement, which have been increased to 20,000 yuan for new energy vehicles and 15,000 yuan for traditional fuel vehicles [6][9] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The wholesale volume of passenger cars in September reached a record high of 2.504 million units, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1% and a month-on-month increase of 16.1% [5] - New energy vehicle wholesale sales in September were 1.231 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 48.1% [5] Sales and Exports - Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 15.574 million units, with new energy vehicles accounting for 713.2 thousand units sold, a year-on-year increase of 37.4% [5] - Exports of passenger cars in September were 435,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 22.0% [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as BYD, Changan Automobile, Yinlun Holdings, Top Group, and others, as they are expected to benefit from the favorable market conditions and government policies [9]