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北路智控:Q3收入稳健增长,研发保持高投入

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 37.18 [1][4]. Core Views - The company has shown steady revenue growth in Q3, with a year-on-year increase of 10.94% to RMB 316 million, although net profit has faced pressure, decreasing by 10.03% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing push for coal informationization in China, particularly in the context of smart mining initiatives [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of RMB 813 million, a year-on-year increase of 14.65%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company was RMB 140 million, down 14.18% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2024, the company's gross margin was 42.76%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.91 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.95 percentage points [2]. Cost Structure - The company's sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for Q3 2024 were 8.75%, 5.73%, and 12.15%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 0.34, 1.13, and 2.86 percentage points [2]. Industry Outlook - The smart mining sector in China is progressing steadily, with expectations for increased automation and informationization in coal mining operations, which may lead to enhanced safety and efficiency [3]. - The company is positioned as one of the few domestic manufacturers capable of covering all levels of smart mining, suggesting a favorable outlook for future growth [3]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024, 2025, and 2026 has been adjusted to RMB 244 million, RMB 312 million, and RMB 382 million, respectively [4][11]. - The company is expected to maintain a PE ratio of 20x for 2024, reflecting its competitive position in the smart mining industry [4].