货币政策工具落地,把握优质金融
HTSC·2024-10-20 10:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for both the banking and securities sectors [4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a favorable investment opportunity in the financial sector, ranking securities above insurance and banking. The establishment of the SFISF and stock repurchase loans by the central bank is expected to inject over 200 billion yuan into the market, enhancing market vitality [1][2][7]. - The report notes that the average daily trading volume has exceeded 1 trillion yuan for 13 consecutive trading days, with a peak of over 2 trillion yuan on October 18 [1][2][7]. - The report anticipates that insurance stocks will yield relative returns due to improving fundamentals, while the recent deposit rate cuts will alleviate pressure on bank interest margins [1][2][7]. Summary by Sections Securities Sector - The central bank's introduction of SFISF and stock repurchase loans is expected to attract new capital and stimulate market activity. The first batch of applications for SFISF has exceeded 200 billion yuan, involving 20 securities and fund companies [2][8][13]. - The report suggests that the securities sector will benefit from policy support and increased trading volume, creating a positive feedback loop for brokerage firms [2][8]. Insurance Sector - The report indicates that insurance stocks are likely to achieve relative gains, supported by strong profit forecasts for major insurers due to rising returns on equity assets [17]. - Key companies to watch include China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, and China Life Insurance, which are expected to perform well in the current market environment [17]. Banking Sector - The report mentions that recent deposit rate cuts have significantly eased the pressure on bank interest margins, with the central bank signaling further rate cuts and reserve requirement reductions [2][7]. - The report recommends focusing on high-quality regional banks such as Ningbo Bank and Hangzhou Bank, which are expected to perform well amid the current policy environment [3][5].