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硅料价格维持平稳,国内前八月光伏装机维持增长
Tebon Securities·2024-10-20 13:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the electrical equipment industry [2] Core Insights - Silicon material prices remain stable, with domestic photovoltaic installations continuing to grow [2][16] - In the first eight months of 2024, China's newly installed photovoltaic capacity reached 139.99 GW, a year-on-year increase of 23.7% [18][23] - The average utilization hours for power generation equipment decreased by 103 hours year-on-year, totaling 2328 hours in the first eight months of 2024 [23] Summary by Sections Silicon Material Prices - The price range for multi-crystalline N-type silicon rods is adjusted to 37,000-44,000 CNY/ton, with an average transaction price of 41,700 CNY/ton. P-type single crystal dense material maintains a price range of 33,000-36,000 CNY/ton, averaging 34,500 CNY/ton. N-type granular silicon is priced between 36,000-37,500 CNY/ton, with an average of 37,300 CNY/ton [16][17] - The number of companies in maintenance or reduced load status has decreased to 12, with one company gradually resuming normal production and one new company ramping up production [16] Photovoltaic Installation Growth - In the first eight months of 2024, newly installed photovoltaic capacity was 139.99 GW, with August alone contributing 16.46 GW, marking a 2.9% year-on-year increase [18][23] - By the end of August, the total solar power generation capacity reached approximately 750 million kW, a year-on-year increase of 48.8% [23] Investment Recommendations - Suggested focus areas for investment include: 1. Integrated component companies with new battery technology advantages: JinkoSolar, LONGi Green Energy, JA Solar, Trina Solar [25] 2. Emerging technology in the battery segment: Tongwei Co., Aiko Solar, Junda Co. [25] 3. Silicon wafer companies with efficiency or volume growth logic: TCL Zhonghuan, Shuangliang Eco-Energy [25] 4. Leading inverter companies benefiting from overall growth: Sungrow Power Supply, GoodWe [25] 5. Energy storage battery suppliers: CATL, EVE Energy, Pylontech [25] Wind Power Sector Recommendations - Suggested focus areas include: 1. Offshore wind-related companies: Qifan Cable, Haizhuang Wind Power, Zhenjiang Co. [25] 2. Upstream component manufacturers: Guoda Special Materials, Lixing Co. [25] 3. Complete machine manufacturers: Sany Heavy Energy, Mingyang Smart Energy [25] Electric Vehicle Sector Recommendations - Recommended companies include: 1. Leading firms with global competitiveness: CATL, Enjie, BTR, Tianci Materials [32] 2. Second-tier lithium battery companies: EVE Energy, Guoxuan High-Tech [32] 3. High-quality companies in lithium battery materials: Zhongke Electric, Dangsheng Technology [32] 4. Component leaders benefiting from global electrification: Inovance Technology, Sanhua Intelligent Controls [32] 5. New forces driving intelligent products: Tesla, NIO, Xpeng Motors [32]