Industry Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the defense and military industry [4]. Core Insights - The successful execution of SpaceX's Super Heavy Starship's fifth integrated flight test marks a significant step towards fully reusable space transportation, which could reshape the global aerospace landscape [4][9]. - The military industry has experienced rapid growth from 2020 to 2022, but 2023 has seen significant performance disparities across sub-sectors, indicating a trend towards high-quality development in the future [19]. - Investment opportunities are expected to arise from advancements in equipment technology and the emergence of new products in novel operational domains [19]. - The report suggests focusing on military trade exports as a new growth point for the military industry as China increasingly engages on the global stage [19]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights - SpaceX's Super Heavy Starship successfully completed its fifth integrated flight test, achieving key objectives such as the recovery of the booster stage and precision landing of the spacecraft [4][9]. - The evolution of the Super Heavy Starship has progressed through multiple phases, from conceptualization to engineering validation and mass production [12][16]. - The U.S. aims to establish a long-term presence on the Moon and Mars, which could significantly impact global political, economic, military, and technological dynamics [18]. 2. Market Overview - The military sector indices have shown strong performance, with the China Securities Military Index rising by 6.66% and the Shenwan Military Index increasing by 7.89% in the latest week [20]. - The military sector ranked third in terms of growth among 31 first-level industries [20]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Two main investment themes are suggested: 1. Traditional aerospace sector focusing on companies with sustainable growth and excess returns, including names like AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, Steel Research High-tech, and others [19]. 2. New trends in military technology and products, with a focus on companies such as Guorui Technology, Fenghuo Electronics, and others [19]. 4. Stock Performance - The top-performing stocks in the military sector for the week included Huali Chuantong (+36.23%), Sichuan Jiuzhou (+28.48%), and others, indicating strong market interest [23][24]. 5. Valuation Levels - As of October 18, 2024, the China Securities Military Index stood at 10,530.46, with a PE-TTM valuation of 63.98 and a PB valuation of 2.96, both of which are at historical mid-levels [25].
国防军工行业报告:超重-星舰成功执行第五次综合飞行试验,盘点超重-星舰演变历程
China Post Securities·2024-10-21 01:00