Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, setting a target price of HKD 5.50, which represents a potential upside from the current price of HKD 3.28 [34]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the acceleration of domestic ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) software adoption, driven by national policies promoting digital transformation and the replacement of imported software with domestic alternatives [2][13]. - Cloud services have become a significant growth driver, with revenue from this segment growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50.7% from 2019 to 2023, and expected to continue increasing [10][18]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow by 20.7% in FY24 and 20.1% in FY25, with net profit expected to increase by 77.0% and 45.0% respectively during the same periods [2][18]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Cloud service revenue has significantly increased, from RMB 390 million in 2019 to RMB 2 billion in 2023, with its share of total revenue rising from 13.4% to 24.1% [10][11]. - The company’s management software revenue has also grown, albeit at a slower pace, indicating a shift towards cloud-based solutions [10]. - The company is leveraging synergies with its parent company, Inspur Group, to enhance its market position in the domestic ERP sector [2][13]. Industry Context - The domestic ERP market has a market share of nearly 70%, with major players including Yonyou, Inspur, and Kingdee, while high-end segments remain dominated by foreign firms [15]. - Recent government policies have accelerated the push for domestic software solutions, with a target for state-owned enterprises to fully transition to domestic products by 2027 [2][13]. Financial Projections and Valuation - Revenue is expected to reach RMB 10 billion in FY24, with cloud services projected to contribute significantly to this growth [18]. - The company’s gross margin is anticipated to improve from 23.1% in FY23 to 26.4% by FY26, driven by the scaling of cloud services [18][31]. - The net profit is forecasted to grow from RMB 357 million in FY24 to RMB 702 million by FY26, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [19][31]. Company Background - The company, established in 2003 and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, has transitioned from hardware to software, focusing on ERP solutions and cloud services [21]. - It operates under the auspices of Inspur Group, which holds a significant stake, providing it with a strong resource base and market credibility [21][22].
浪潮数字企业：乘国产替代之东风 追信创改革之星光