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房地产行业第42周周报:新房二手房成交环比持续增长,住建部提出通过货币化安置实施100万套城中村和危旧房改造
中银国际·2024-10-22 02:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the real estate sector, indicating a potential recovery in the market supported by recent policy measures [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that new home sales have shown a continuous month-on-month increase, with a significant recovery in transaction volumes due to supportive policies implemented at the end of September [1]. - The report anticipates improvements in the real estate market fundamentals in the coming months, particularly in October, November, and December [1]. - The report emphasizes that the current policy direction aims to stabilize the real estate market and prevent further declines [1]. Summary by Sections 1. Key City New Home Market, Second-hand Market, and Inventory Tracking - New home transaction area in 40 cities reached 3.3 million square meters, up 75.7% month-on-month and up 10.3% year-on-year [9]. - Second-hand home transaction area increased by 69.7% month-on-month and 24.2% year-on-year [1]. - New home inventory area increased by 0.1% month-on-month but decreased by 5.0% year-on-year [17]. 2. Land Market Tracking - The total area of land transactions in 100 cities was 1,645.9 million square meters, up 93.3% month-on-month but down 18.8% year-on-year [5]. - The total land transaction price was 44.92 billion yuan, up 115.7% month-on-month but down 33.6% year-on-year [5]. 3. Industry Policy Review - The report outlines a series of policy measures aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, including the cancellation of purchase restrictions and the reduction of mortgage rates [1]. - The report notes that the government plans to implement 1 million urban village and dilapidated housing renovations, which is expected to stimulate housing demand [1]. 4. Sector Performance Review - The absolute return of the real estate sector was 3.0%, an increase of 11.3 percentage points from the previous week [5]. - The relative return was 2.0%, up 7.0 percentage points from the previous week [5]. 5. Company Announcements - The report includes a summary of key company announcements within the real estate sector, highlighting significant developments and performance metrics [7]. 6. Bond Issuance in Real Estate Companies - The total bond issuance in the real estate sector was 6.69 billion yuan, up 70.8% month-on-month but down 55.0% year-on-year [7].