汽车行业周报:10月前2周乘用车行业销量延续增长,关注三季报业绩向上公司
Orient Securities·2024-10-22 08:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral rating for the automotive and parts industry [5] Core Insights - Retail sales of passenger cars continued to grow in the first two weeks of October, with 823,000 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 20% and a month-on-month increase of 17%. The growth is attributed to the ongoing effects of the vehicle replacement policy [10][18] - Several automotive companies reported strong third-quarter performance, including Fuyao Glass and Huayang Group, with Fuyao's revenue and net profit increasing by 13.4% and 53.5% year-on-year, respectively [10][28] - The upcoming launch of key new energy vehicle models is expected to boost market enthusiasm, with models like the Deep Blue S05 and Xiaopeng P7+ set to enter the market [11][12] Summary by Sections Market Trends - The automotive sector's performance outpaced the broader market, with a 1.3% increase in the CITIC automotive sector index, compared to a 1.0% rise in the CSI 300 index [13] - The automotive parts sector showed a strong performance with a 2.33% increase, while the commercial vehicle sector declined by 1.74% [13] Sales Tracking - In the first two weeks of October, wholesale sales of passenger cars reached 713,000 units, a 20% year-on-year increase, while cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 19.157 million units, up 4% [18][20] - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 49.1% in September, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15 percentage points [22] Company Performance - Jianghuai Automobile expects a net profit of 620 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 237.1% [28] - Silver Wheel Holdings anticipates a net profit of 595-610 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 34.1%-37.5% [29] Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include BYD, Jianghuai Automobile, Changan Automobile, and others, with a focus on those with strong earnings visibility and competitive advantages [12][3]