中国平安：内外环境整体改善，核心指标全面提速

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy - A / Buy - H" with a current price of 56.90 CNY / 49.05 HKD and a reasonable value of 58.55 CNY / 54.87 HKD [2]. Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, reaching 119.18 billion CNY, which is a year-on-year growth of 34.1% [2][9]. - The growth in net profit was primarily driven by the upward movement in equity markets and some one-time gains, with quarterly growth rates of -4.3%, +20.4%, and +151.3% for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively [2][9]. - The new business value (NBV) for the first three quarters was 35.16 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.1% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Life Insurance - The improvement in value rates and the reduction in new business premium declines contributed to a significant increase in new business value, with a year-on-year growth of 34.1% [3][4]. - The quarterly growth rates for new business value were 20.7%, 0%, and 110.3% for Q1, Q2, and Q3 respectively, with Q3 showing a substantial recovery [3][4]. - The agent workforce showed a positive trend, reaching 362,000, with a year-on-year increase of 0.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.5% [4][6]. Property and Casualty Insurance - The original premium scale for property and casualty insurance reached 239.37 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 5.9% [8]. - The combined cost ratio improved to 97.8%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating better underwriting profitability [8][9]. Profitability - The company's net profit for the first three quarters was 119.18 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 36.1% [9][11]. - The operating profit also showed a year-on-year increase of 5.5%, with life insurance operating profit growing by 3% and property insurance by 39.7% [9][11]. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The forecast for EPS is 7.5, 7.6, and 8.0 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with a corresponding valuation of 58.55 CNY per share for A-shares [12][13]. - The company is expected to maintain a stable growth trajectory in both insurance service performance and investment performance, with projected net profit growth rates of 58.4%, 2%, and 5.7% for 2024 to 2026 [12][13].