Investment Rating - The investment rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1]. Core Views - The pharmaceutical sector's mid-year reports were completed by the end of August, revealing a lack of highlights except for some innovative drugs' overseas licensing and clinical data events. The market is expected to revise down its earnings forecasts for Q3 2024 and the entire year [2]. - The macroeconomic environment is improving, driven by both domestic and foreign demand, which is expected to create a favorable external environment for the pharmaceutical sector's performance recovery. The industry is anticipated to enter a new growth cycle by 2025, with an accelerated increase in industry concentration [2]. - The report highlights optimism towards several sub-sectors, including innovative drugs, medical devices, CXO, upstream life sciences, and consumer healthcare [2]. Summary by Sections 01 Monthly Performance Review - The pharmaceutical industry saw an overall increase of 21.34% in September, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.38% [7]. 02 Recent Policy Commentary - The report discusses the impact of recent policies on the pharmaceutical sector, including the anticipated results of the November medical insurance negotiations and the rollout of medical device update policies [2]. 03 Industry Data Tracking - Key macro data for the pharmaceutical manufacturing sector shows a 5.8% year-on-year increase in industrial added value from January to August 2024, with pharmaceutical manufacturing's added value growing by 2.1% [6]. 04 Sub-sector Perspectives - The report indicates that all sub-sectors experienced significant growth, with the medical services sector seeing the highest increase of 37.04% [9]. 05 Recent Key Report Review - The report includes a review of recent key reports, focusing on the performance and outlook of various companies within the pharmaceutical sector [5]. 06 Coverage Company Earnings Forecast and Valuation Table - A detailed valuation table is provided for various companies, indicating their market capitalization and projected earnings for 2024 and 2025, with most companies rated as "Outperform the Market" [3].
医药生物行业2024年10月投资策略:三季报业绩陆续披露,关注经营趋势向上标的
Guoxin Securities·2024-10-23 08:03