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宏观及大类资产月报:海外“特朗普交易”卷土重来 国内“弱现实”VS“强预期”
Tong Guan Jin Yuan Qi Huo·2024-10-24 01:01

Group 1: Economic Overview - The U.S. GDP growth rate for Q2 was revised to 3.0%, exceeding the expected 2.9%[7] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls in September added 254,000 jobs, significantly above the forecast of 140,000[8] - China's GDP growth rate for Q3 was recorded at 4.6%, slightly above the expected 4.5%[14] Group 2: Inflation and Monetary Policy - U.S. CPI in September showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, the lowest since February 2021[8] - The Federal Reserve initiated a rate cut of 50 basis points, lowering the target range to 4.75%-5.0%[8] - China's CPI in September increased by only 0.4%, indicating weak inflationary pressures[14] Group 3: Market Performance - Domestic equity markets outperformed international markets, with A-shares rising by 22.21% in September[19] - The South China commodity index recorded a gain of 4.60% in September, with all sectors showing positive returns[19] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.96% in September, marking three consecutive months of decline[19]