Shijia Photons(688313) 中原证券·2024-10-24 10:03Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the company, indicating a projected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [1][12]. Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in revenue and profit, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 34.77% and a net profit increase of 231.0% for the first three quarters of 2024 [1]. - The demand for optical communication products, particularly in the data center and AI computing sectors, is driving the company's growth, with a strong order backlog for AWG components [1][3]. - The company's gross margin has improved significantly, reaching 25.84% for the first three quarters of 2024, an increase of 6.06 percentage points year-on-year [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 729 million yuan, with a net profit of 36.21 million yuan [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 29.08%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.31 percentage points [1]. - The company’s R&D expenses for the first three quarters of 2024 were 80.09 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 0.97% [1]. Market Trends - The demand for 400G and 800G optical modules is expected to drive growth in the optical communication market, with a projected compound annual growth rate of over 28% for the 400G+ market by 2029 [3]. - The indoor optical cable market is also experiencing steady growth, with global demand for optical cables expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4% from 2023 to 2027 [3]. Profitability Forecast - The company is expected to see continued improvement in profitability, with projected net profits of 50 million yuan, 101 million yuan, and 138 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4]. - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the company are 135.19X for 2024, 67.25X for 2025, and 49.20X for 2026 [4].