Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on EDA Group Holdings with a "BUY" rating, setting a target price of HK2.33 [2]. Core Insights - EDA Group is positioned as a leading provider of end-to-end supply chain solutions for B2C export e-commerce, leveraging its proprietary EDA Cloud platform to enhance operational efficiency and customer connectivity [13][25]. - The B2C export e-commerce supply chain solutions market is projected to grow significantly, with a market size of RMB402.4 billion in 2022 and an expected CAGR of 9.1% from 2022 to 2027, driven by the increasing adoption of pre-sale stocking models [8][39]. - EDA's technology capabilities and asset-light model, which includes self-operated and partnered warehouses, provide a competitive edge, allowing for scalable growth and improved profitability [10][24]. Company Overview - EDA Group Holdings is a comprehensive supply chain solutions provider for e-commerce vendors, offering services that include cross-border logistics, overseas warehousing, and fulfillment delivery, all integrated into the EDA Cloud platform [13]. - The company primarily utilizes a pre-sale stocking model, which allows e-commerce vendors to store products in overseas warehouses, facilitating faster and more reliable delivery to end consumers [34][39]. Financial Performance - EDA's revenue for FY22 was RMB709 million, with a projected revenue growth of 70.6% to RMB1,209 million in FY23, and further growth to RMB2,776 million by FY26, reflecting a CAGR of 31.9% [4]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to grow from RMB36.8 million in FY23 to RMB222.6 million by FY26, indicating a CAGR of 34.3% [4]. Market Analysis - The B2C export e-commerce market in China has seen rapid growth, with a GMV of RMB3.2 trillion in 2022, and is expected to reach RMB6.0 trillion by 2027, driven by improved payment systems and increased online shopping habits [30]. - The supply chain solutions market is fragmented, with over 4,000 players, and EDA ranks seventh among providers utilizing the pre-sale stocking model, holding a market share of approximately 0.4% [9]. Competitive Advantages - EDA Cloud platform serves as a key competitive advantage, providing a seamless supply chain experience and enabling efficient resource allocation among logistics and supply chain service providers [10][25]. - The company has established long-term relationships with high-quality customers, with an average business relationship duration of four years with its five largest customers, enhancing customer retention and satisfaction [12][26]. Growth Catalysts - Key growth catalysts for EDA include the mitigation of geopolitical risks, expansion of partnerships with leading e-commerce platforms, and stronger-than-expected earnings growth [8].
EDA集团控股：Riding on tide of B2C export e-commerce industry development