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高盛:中国新能源汽车周报_2024 年第 42 周 - 54% 新能源汽车渗透率;新能源汽车经销商折扣扩大
600617GXED(600617) 高盛证券·2024-10-27 16:27

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it [34][35]. Core Insights - The penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the passenger vehicle market reached 53.9%, an increase of 4.1 percentage points from the previous week [6][27]. - Weekly insurance registrations for passenger vehicles were 499,000 units, reflecting a decrease of 16.1% week-over-week [6][27]. - Weekly insurance registrations for new energy vehicles were 269,000 units, down 9.1% from the previous week [6][27]. - The average dealer discount for NEVs was 7.28% as of October 22, compared to 7.17% on October 15 [22][23]. - The average discount for internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles was 21.40% as of October 22, slightly down from 21.47% [23]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The NEV market is experiencing significant growth, with a 55% increase in volume for Tesla China, 23% for AITO, and 29% for Xiaomi week-over-week [8][9]. - BYD Group, Tesla China, and Li Auto are the top three brands in terms of market share, holding 35%, 5%, and 4% respectively [8][9]. Key Trends - The report highlights a total of 1.27 million applications for the trade-in subsidy program as of October 7, with an average of 4,000 new applications daily during the first week of October [11][12]. - The average daily orders for various NEV brands during the week of September 29 to October 6 were as follows: BYD (23,571 units), Li Auto (2,857 units), and others [17]. Pricing Dynamics - The average price cut for NEVs was 8% year-to-date, with 88 price cuts observed [19]. - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate decreased by 3.0% week-over-week, currently at RMB 73,900 per ton [25]. Upcoming Events - Key events to watch include the official launch of ZEEKR Mix on October 23 and XPeng Tech Day on October 24 [15][16]. Market Share Changes - Tesla China, AITO, and Xiaomi gained market share by 2.0 percentage points, 0.8 percentage points, and 0.5 percentage points respectively, while BYD Group, Galaxy, and Nio lost market share [8][9].