Autobio(603658) 中泰证券·2024-10-28 06:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing stable performance amidst multiple pressures, with a focus on potential turning points following policy clarifications [1] - The company has shown resilience in its conventional business operations, with expectations for accelerated growth as various policies are fully implemented [1] - The report highlights the company's ongoing investment in research and development, which is expected to drive long-term growth [1] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2022A: 4,442 million - 2023A: 4,444 million - 2024E: 4,630 million - 2025E: 5,359 million - 2026E: 6,415 million - Year-on-year growth rates: 2023A: 0%, 2024E: 4%, 2025E: 16%, 2026E: 20% [1] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2022A: 1,167 million - 2023A: 1,217 million - 2024E: 1,330 million - 2025E: 1,545 million - 2026E: 1,872 million - Year-on-year growth rates: 2023A: 4%, 2024E: 9%, 2025E: 16%, 2026E: 21% [1] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 2.01 - 2023A: 2.10 - 2024E: 2.29 - 2025E: 2.66 - 2026E: 3.22 [1] - Cash Flow and Profitability: - Cash flow per share: 2023A: 2.53, 2024E: 3.32, 2025E: 3.06, 2026E: 3.32 [1] - Return on equity (ROE): 2023A: 14%, 2024E: 13%, 2025E: 14%, 2026E: 14% [1] - Valuation Ratios: - Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio: 2023A: 21.3, 2024E: 19.5, 2025E: 16.8, 2026E: 13.9 [1] - Price-to-book (P/B) ratio: 2023A: 3.0, 2024E: 2.7, 2025E: 2.3, 2026E: 2.0 [1] Business Overview - The company reported a year-on-year revenue growth of 6.13% for the first three quarters of 2024, with a net profit of 3.37 billion, reflecting a decline of 5.18% year-on-year but a 14.01% increase quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual release of pressure from regulatory policies, with a focus on enhancing its research and development capabilities [1] - The report indicates that the company’s self-developed products and increasing customer demand are expected to support growth in the chemical luminescence business, while the biochemical segment may face short-term pressure due to pricing adjustments [1]