ShaanGu(601369) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-10-28 09:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company achieved a positive turnaround in Q3 2024, with revenue and profit exceeding market expectations, marking the first time both metrics turned positive after a decline [1]. - The company is expected to continue reducing its reliance on the metallurgical industry, with growth in sectors such as coal chemical and petrochemical [1]. - The forecasted net profit for 2024-2026 is projected at 1.167 billion, 1.367 billion, and 1.522 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12.5, 10.7, and 9.6 [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue: - 2022A: 10,766 million yuan - 2023A: 10,143 million yuan (down 6% YoY) - 2024E: 11,133 million yuan (up 10% YoY) - 2025E: 12,447 million yuan (up 12% YoY) - 2026E: 13,842 million yuan (up 11% YoY) [1][6] - Net Profit: - 2022A: 968 million yuan - 2023A: 1,020 million yuan (up 5% YoY) - 2024E: 1,167 million yuan (up 14% YoY) - 2025E: 1,367 million yuan (up 17% YoY) - 2026E: 1,522 million yuan (up 11% YoY) [1][6] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 0.56 yuan - 2023A: 0.59 yuan - 2024E: 0.68 yuan - 2025E: 0.79 yuan - 2026E: 0.88 yuan [1][6] - Cash Flow: - Operating cash flow for 2023A: 1,352 million yuan - Expected to be negative in 2024E at -3,375 million yuan [5][6]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has signed several overseas projects, indicating a successful expansion into international markets [2]. - The report highlights the company's strategic focus on enhancing its research and development capabilities, particularly in distributed energy and compressed air energy storage technologies [1][2].