Sunrise Company(002752) 国盛证券·2024-10-28 09:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.774 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.0%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 110 million yuan, down 6.3% year-on-year. The adjusted net profit was 107 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.3% [1]. - The performance of the three-piece can segment is expected to remain stable, with a strong profit support anticipated from steady growth in sales of Tian Si products. The two-piece can segment is experiencing a slight decline in sales and prices [2]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 2024 is projected to be 13.7%, remaining stable year-on-year, while the net profit margin is estimated at 6.2%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue for 2022 was 7.052 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 23.8%. For 2023, the revenue is projected at 7.095 billion yuan, with a minimal growth rate of 0.6%. The forecast for 2024 is 7.192 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 1.4% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2022 was 209 million yuan, with a growth rate of 22.7%. The forecast for 2023 is 333 million yuan, showing a significant growth of 59.3%, and for 2024, it is expected to reach 446 million yuan, a growth of 33.9% [3]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2022 was 0.21 yuan, increasing to 0.34 yuan in 2023, and projected to be 0.46 yuan in 2024 [3][11]. Profitability and Valuation - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 11.6x for 2024, 9.6x for 2025, and 8.0x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation trend [2][3]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 10.1% in 2024, increasing to 13.1% in 2025 and 13.6% in 2026 [3].