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华峰铝业:24Q3业绩符合预期,盈利能力稳定

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance met expectations, with revenue of 7.68 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, and a net profit of 870 million yuan, up 30.8% year-on-year [4] - The growth in performance is attributed to product structure optimization, a strong sales increase driven by both domestic and international customer expansion, and cost reduction efforts [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand in air conditioning, data centers, and energy storage markets, with significant potential in liquid cooling materials [4] - The company has a strong focus on high-value-added products and has successfully expanded its overseas market presence, particularly in Asia and Eastern Europe [4] - The company plans to expand its production capacity in Chongqing by an additional 150,000 tons, enhancing its supply capabilities [4] - The profit forecast for the company remains unchanged, with expected net profits of 1.25 billion, 1.60 billion, and 1.90 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 13, 10, and 9 [4] Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 16.57 yuan - Market capitalization: 16,546 million yuan - Price-to-book ratio: 3.4 - Dividend yield: 1.21% [2] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023: 9,291 million yuan, with a projected increase to 11,483 million yuan in 2024 [5] - Net profit for 2023: 899 million yuan, expected to rise to 1,250 million yuan in 2024 [5] - Gross margin for 2024 is projected at 17.8% [5] Company Performance - The company achieved a net profit margin of 11.3% in Q3 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.4% [4] - The company has established a strong foothold in various industries, including new energy vehicles, energy storage, and data centers, with multiple new projects underway [4]