Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has shown rapid growth in its social and gaming product revenues, with a projected revenue increase of 60.7% to 62.7% year-on-year for its social business in the first nine months of 2024 [2][3] - The innovative business segment is expected to generate revenue of 300 to 320 million RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.4% to 19.9% [3] - The independently developed premium games have achieved a revenue of approximately 580 million RMB, marking a significant year-on-year increase of about 182.5% [3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 4,818 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 45.65% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted at 406.7 million RMB for 2024, a decrease of 20.70% compared to the previous year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is estimated at 0.29 RMB, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.62 [1] Social Business Performance - The social business continues to grow rapidly, with the SUGO platform becoming the second social product to achieve monthly revenue exceeding 10 million USD [2] - As of September 30, 2024, the cumulative download of social business applications reached approximately 740 million, a 6.5% increase from June 30, 2024 [2] - The average monthly active users for the social business in Q3 2024 were approximately 28.98 million, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of about 1.5% [2] Innovative Business and Gaming - The innovative business segment's revenue is expected to grow due to the steady development of social e-commerce [3] - The flagship game "Alice's Dream" has rapidly developed and entered the top 30 of Sensor Tower's overseas revenue rankings for Chinese mobile games [3] - The report indicates an upward revision of net profit forecasts for 2024 and 2025 due to better-than-expected performance in social business and gaming revenue [3]
赤子城科技：2024年三季度运营数据点评：社交及游戏产品流水快速增长，收入高双位数增长