Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.85, reflecting an 8.3% downside potential from the current price of HKD 4.20 [4][6]. Core Insights - Recent price increases in the photovoltaic sector are attributed to expectations of policy support, including discussions on preventing excessive competition and promoting sustainable industry development [2]. - The report highlights a significant decline in photovoltaic glass prices, which has affected the profitability of many small to medium-sized manufacturers [3]. - The forecast for shareholder net profit has been revised downward for FY24-26 by 29.2%, 26.9%, and 21.3%, respectively, due to the recent trends in photovoltaic glass pricing [4]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: HKD 20,544 million in 2022, HKD 26,629 million in 2023, HKD 28,864 million in 2024, HKD 34,871 million in 2025, and HKD 39,747 million in 2026, with growth rates of 27.9%, 29.6%, 8.4%, 20.8%, and 14.0% respectively [10]. - Shareholder net profit is expected to be HKD 3,820 million in 2022, HKD 4,187 million in 2023, HKD 3,582 million in 2024, HKD 4,288 million in 2025, and HKD 4,994 million in 2026, with growth rates of (22.4)%, 9.6%, (14.5)%, 19.7%, and 16.5% respectively [10]. - Earnings per share are projected to be HKD 0.43 in 2022, HKD 0.47 in 2023, HKD 0.40 in 2024, HKD 0.48 in 2025, and HKD 0.56 in 2026 [10]. - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is forecasted to be 9.8 in 2022, 8.9 in 2023, 10.4 in 2024, 8.7 in 2025, and 7.5 in 2026 [10].
信义光能：政策支持仍待证实