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9月金融数据点评:政府债持续支撑社融,M2增速触底回升
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji·2024-10-29 09:04

Group 1: Economic Indicators - CPI and PPI both declined, indicating that inflationary pressures are under control[1] - In September, social financing (社融) increased by 3.76 trillion yuan, which is 356.6 billion yuan less than the previous year[2] - The growth rate of M2 money supply was 6.8%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, showing signs of stabilization[4] Group 2: Financing and Loans - New RMB loans in September amounted to 1.97 trillion yuan, a decrease of 563.4 billion yuan year-on-year, marking a historical low[2] - The net financing of government bonds in September was 1.54 trillion yuan, an increase of 540.8 billion yuan compared to the previous year, supporting social financing[4] - Corporate loans increased by 1.49 trillion yuan in September, but this was 3.585 trillion yuan less than the previous year, reflecting weakened corporate financing willingness[3] Group 3: Monetary Policy and Market Response - M1 growth rate fell to -7.4%, but the decline has slowed, indicating potential for more supportive monetary policy[4] - A series of policies announced in late September, including a 0.5 percentage point reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, are expected to enhance liquidity in the market[5] - The stock market showed positive responses, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching above 3200 points, driven by supportive policies and increased market confidence[5]