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纽威股份:公司事件点评报告:海外市场拓展,盈利能力提升

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Nuwei Co., Ltd. (603699.SH) for its overseas market expansion and improved profitability [1]. Core Views - Nuwei Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 4.455 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.09%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 828 million yuan, up 40.69% year-on-year [1]. - The company benefits from declining raw material prices, which have significantly boosted its gross profit margin, with a gross margin of 36.72% for the first three quarters of 2024, an increase of 5.78 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - Nuwei is expanding its precision casting capacity, with plans to invest 220 million yuan to increase production capacity, which is expected to enhance its market competitiveness [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, Nuwei achieved a revenue of 1.617 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.98% year-on-year, while the net profit was 340 million yuan, an increase of 34.88% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s net profit growth is primarily attributed to changes in sales revenue and gross profit [1]. Market and Production Capacity - The company is actively expanding its precision casting capacity, with an expected annual output of 5,000 tons each for carbon steel and stainless steel precision castings, leading to an estimated annual output value of 260 million yuan [1]. - Nuwei is broadening its market reach into various downstream application industries, including oil and gas equipment, wind energy equipment, and petrochemical pressure vessels [1]. Cost Management and Profitability - Nuwei has effectively controlled its expense ratios, with a sales gross margin of 38.89% in Q3 2024, up 6.30 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 21.08%, up 7.14 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company’s overall expense management remains strong, with a total expense ratio of 11.94%, a slight decrease of 0.29 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 6.524 billion yuan, 7.689 billion yuan, and 8.704 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.20 yuan, 1.43 yuan, and 1.66 yuan [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19.5, 16.4, and 14.1 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, supporting the "Buy" investment rating [3].