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金诚信:24Q3业绩超预期,资源放量成本改善
603979JCHX(603979) 申万宏源·2024-10-30 01:43

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported Q3 2024 earnings that exceeded expectations, with revenue of 6.97 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-over-year increase of 31.2%, and a net profit of 1.09 billion yuan, up 54.0% year-over-year [4][5]. - The increase in revenue and profit is attributed to rising copper prices and significant growth in copper sales [4]. - The mining services segment showed a slight increase in gross profit, while the resources segment experienced a nearly threefold increase in gross profit year-over-year [4][5]. - The company has ongoing projects and acquisitions, including the Lubambe copper mine, which is expected to contribute significantly to future production [4][5]. Summary by Sections Market Data - Closing price: 41.51 yuan - One-year high/low: 61.00/33.56 yuan - Price-to-book ratio: 3.1 - Dividend yield: 0.48 - Market capitalization: 25,892 million yuan [2]. Financial Data - As of September 30, 2024, the company reported a net asset value per share of 13.31 yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 47.22% [3]. - Total shares: 624 million [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected total revenue for 2024 is 9.7 billion yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 31.1% [5]. - Expected net profit for 2024 is 1.55 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 50.7% [5]. - Earnings per share are forecasted to be 2.49 yuan for 2024 [5]. Operational Highlights - The company plans to increase production in its mining projects, including copper and phosphate, with specific targets set for 2024 [4][5]. - The gross margin for the resources segment improved to 45.4% in Q3 2024, indicating cost improvements despite a decrease in copper prices [4].